The state of the stalemate, evidence for and against YEC
[Introductory Creation Science]

jb asked that I post my thoughts on evidences for YEC. He asked in comment #3, Wavelength behavior at a fixed location, Jellison and Bridgman’s critique…
Maybe you could make a blog post elaborating on this in layman/popular-audience terms. What are the specific physical evidences that have moved you more toward accepting a YEC model? What are the problems you’ve identified with galactic, stellar and planetary evolution?
I will offer answers over several threads as the topic is deep. So let me introduce the topic.
Many OECs and Old Earth ID proponents (OEIDs) have risked their careers and reputations in the cause of Intelligent Design. I do not question their integrity and commitment to the truth. And for the Christians OECs and OEIDs, I do not question their desire to see Christianity succeed. I know personally and have grieved along side various OECs and OEIDs who have suffered persecution: Caroline Crocker, Guillermo Gonzalez, William Dembski, Michael Behe, etc. That’s not to even mention the countless others it would be best I not comment on, lest I identify them publicly…..
It’s too simplistic to assert OECs and OIEDs are somehow part of an effort to erode the Christian world view because they accept an old universe. The evidential case for an old universe is very substantial. If one thinks the Bible absolutely says the world is young, one must wrestle with the evidential case that it is old, and the evidential case is formidable.
I do not think for one second the case for mindless abiogenesis or Darwinian evolution has substantial merit, and my experience over the years has only reinforced that view. The case for Intelligent Deisgn is substantial, the case for special creation (versus universal common ancestry) is not quite as substantial as the case for ID, but formidable.
[For those who accept special creation (as I do), I would like to point out we still have our work cut out for us. I would like to point out this fine paper by the president of BSG, Todd Wood: The Chimpanzee Genome and the Problem of Biological Similarity. Wood is exemplary in his willingness to criticize the YEC hypothesis which he holds dear. That spirit of open and honest inquiry will bear fruit in due season, and that is the spirit I hope to foster at YoungCosmos…]
It is with that spirit of Wood’s openess I explore the question of the age of the universe. But first some basics. How do we know the universe is not eternal? The simple answer is the stars cannot be burning forever. The laws of thermodynamics suggest, like a car running out of gas, the universe is running out of fuel, hence it could not be eternal.
We can thus put an outer bound of maybe billions or trillions of years, but for the most part it’s hard to argue the universe is eternal. It is “young” in that sense, since it is not from everlasting to everlasting.
The question then is how old is the universe if it’s not eternal? There are two prinicple reasons to think it is billions of years, none of which have to do with metaphysics, namely distant starlight and long-term radiometric dating.
We use speed of light to measure all sorts of things today. We are able to tell how far one object is from another by using laser range finders. This is real science. On the presumption of a constant speed of light we can build things like laser guided smart bombs. It stands to reason then, that if laser range finding works so well on Earth, the concept would be extrapolatable to anything else. Indeed, we are able to exptrapolate these ideas to determining the distances to spacecraft. Thus, with some modification of the math we use in laser range finders, we might be tempted, nay, compelled to say far away stars must have been in existence long ago, otherwise, presuming a constant speed of light, we would not be seeing them today. Ergo, the universe is billions of years old.
[I can’t begin to tell you how grating it is to people who build devices like laser range finders and space craft to be dismissed by YECs as compromising the word of God. Unlike Darwinian evolution, the physics behind Old-Earth theory actually has real world application for the benefit of humanity. It should not be dismissed by theological fiat. It must be resolved scientifically for the Old Earth view to be overturned.]
Furthermore, long term radiometric dating suggests an old earth. Like fuel being consumed, we see the consumption of radioactive material. The very natural interpretation is an old universe. Combined with the light speed considerations, the inference to an old universe is almost irresistible. I cringe to hear suggestions that Old Earth ideas were mainly an attempt to erode Christian beliefs.
And irony of ironies, it was the greatest YEC scientist, math and physics genius James Clerk Maxwell, whose equations suggested the constancy of the speed of light, and thus Maxwell’s equations unwittingly signed the death sentence to YEC theory. Ah, but the executioner could not quite deliver the fatal blow to YEC….
YEC, on evidential grounds could be rescued if the problem of distant startlight and radiometric dating could be solved. In fact, research can proceed even if at least tentative solutions to these two major problems were being actively pursued. I for one, and the researchers at Loma Linda/GRI determined the C-14 dates for various fossils were absolutely fallacious. In fact, the provider of one of the C-14 data points in the 1970s, Reiner von Protsch, was found out in 2004 to have fabricated C-14 dates. It was no surprise to me or the researchers at Loma Linda/GRI. The evidence pointed to data being pulled completely out of the air.
The following papers (not easy reading!) describe why the following graph demonstrates systematic errors in C-14 dating. The downward slope in the data points indicates an error. If C-14 dating were reliable, the points should be horizontal not sloping downward:

See: Amino Acid Dating by bio-chemist Michael Brown
And hence, the doubts began to continue that there may be good reason to consider YEC.
Before I go into more detials, I should be careful to note, there are several separate issues:
1. Problems with the Big Bang vs. Special Creation
2. Age of the genomes
3. Age of the geological column
4. Age of the Earth
5. Age of the Solar System
6. Age of Stars
7. Age of Galaxies
8. Age of the Universe
One could argue the universe could be old, but life was recently created (an OEC position). Or one could argue the universe is old but the solar system is young, etc. To see why this is important, it would be illogical to point to a five-year-old child and argue the universe is young because the child is young. In like manner, one must be careful to not make the same mistake with the age of the universe. One could look at the young rings of saturn, young comets, etc. and one could still not convincingly argue the WHOLE universe is young. One could legitimately argue the rings of Saturn are young, the comets are young, but beyond that, one is probably making an invalid inference.
There are numerous markers for each of the above 8 items in favor of YEC. The case for YEC is more believable as we see that each of the 8 suggests youth and/or special creation. But again, caution is in order, the youth of items 2-7 does not imply the youth of the whole universe, but the YECs must prove the first 7 to prove their case. In the parlance of math and logic, we would say YEC-friendly evidence in the first 7 items is a necessary but not sufficient condition to infer YEC. Fortunately, those 7 items have evidence in YECs favor. I will, God willing, blog on those 7 issues.
So what would suggest a young universe, assuming we can solve the problem of distant starlight and radiometric dating? How do we solve item #8? Under the assumption of a constant speed of light we hypothesize the objects the farthest from us should look the youngest, since we are supposedly looking at events that happened 13.4 billion years ago.
There are various markers for age. But suffice it to say, something young should not look like something old. The stars and galaxies near us are presumably old, and the ones far away should look presumably young. Thus we would expect the ones far away should not look like the ones nearby since the ones far away ought to look very young. But is that the case? Nope!
Here is an observation by one of the scientists looking at the early universe. It looked OLD (or rather the paradigm is all wrong)!
“It’s becoming more and more clear that the young universe was a big zoo with animals of all sorts,” said Labbé, lead author of the study. “There’s as much variety in the early universe as we see around us today.”
The most surprising of these animals are the dead galaxies that literally ran out of gas - or at least cold gas - for making new stars. These giants suffocated far sooner than expected.“We are really amazed - these are the earliest, oldest galaxies found to date,” Labbé said. “Their existence was not predicted by theory and it pushes back the formation epoch of some of the most massive galaxies we see today.”
Surprising New View of Early Universe, Space, March 2005
The alternative view is that the nearby stars and galaxies are young, and we have only supposed that the nearby stars and galaxies are old. When we adopt the view that the nearby stars and galaxies are young, the mystery that confronted Labbe disappears.
But do we simply presume the universe is young and be done with it? In the interest of being thorough, I suggest the YECs must solve the problem of distant starlight and long-term radiometric dating. Even though my research and that of Loma Linda/GRI has cast doubt on C-14 dates, the issue of other isotopes still formidably argues for an old universe. These other isotopes are used for long-term radiometric dating (billions of years) whereas C-14 is for relatively short term (millions of years). If the YECs can overcome the problem of distant starlight and long-term radiometric dating, they will make a compelling scientific case for a young cosmos. Until then, I think we’re in something of a stalemate, but I’m cautiously optimistic.
I will obviously have to write more on these topics.
Note:
The big bang argues for seeing aged stars nearby and young stars far from us. This is figuratively illustrated with the three people below going from left (nearby stars) to right (far away stars):

In actuality, what we see is more akin to seeing every thing about the same age like the triplets below:


Since you’re baring your soul to us on your reasons for your cautious YEC stance I thought I would throw in my two cents.
I take the YEC veiw because of it’s superior explanatory power. No other story of our past (that I have heard of) consistenty gives such satisfying explanations for not not just scientific facts, but also facts of history (worldwide flood myths, human civilisation suddenly appearing a few thousand years ago), and even theological facts (yes, there are such things). This is not to say that all the facts are given satisfying explanations by a YEC view (yet). I have, for example, long considered the Distant Starlight problem to be strong evidence against a YEC position. I hold to it nevertheless, because every other story of origins not only has similar problems, but more of them.
Comment by StephenA — June 22, 2007 @ 10:29 pm
Salvador: “One could look at the young rings of saturn, young comets, etc. and one could still not convincingly argue the WHOLE universe is young. One could legitimately argue the rings of Saturn are young, the comets are young, but beyond that, one is probably making an invalid inference.”
Now, it is believed that the rings of Saturn would not last more than a couple of hundred million years without replenishment, but how, precisely, is that evidence of a young solar system? Even logarithmically, it’s still closer to OEC than YEC.
There are things going on with the rings that we still do not understand… check out this link, for instance:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/05/070522100753.htm
Comment by SCheesman — June 24, 2007 @ 10:52 pm
By the way, the link to the Todd Wood paper is broken.
What you said about Old-Earthers being cast as attempting to erode belief is something that resonates with me. I think a clear distinction needs to be made between people who are genuinely convinced of an Old Earth position because of what to them appears to be unrefutable scientific knowledge, and people who might be out to deliberately decieve others. I don’t think the majority of Old-Earth theists/Christians, etc. fall into the latter category.
One thing that has been a challenge to my faith has been the suggestion by those in the atheistic corner that “most” true scientists are atheists, or at least agnostics or maybe vaguely deistic (and that those “minority” scientists who are religious are just being irrational, compartmentalizing and refusing to think it through). It has been heartening to hear from a great many scientists (which I have discoved only after dealing with this particular doubt) who are deeply committed Christians and who are fully convinced of the reality of God and Christian doctrine and who are not in the least dissuaded from this by any scientific findings. And this is not mere “compartmentalization,” either, but genuine, bona-fide belief and conviction that they feel is perfectly consistent with their scientific understanding. But many of these bona-fide Christian believing scientists are also Old-Earthers, and some of them are even Theistic Evolutionists. To them the Old-Earth paradigm is inescapable for the reasons you’ve pointed out, but this does not cause them to disbelieve in Christian doctrine. Many of them have come to faith only after having spent much of their lifetime thinking in terms of an old universe, and that question didn’t even have any bearing on their conversion experience. It wasn’t even something they considered at the time of conversion. So to label them as “compromisers,” etc. seems rather over-the-top. I think it is commendable that they have been able to point out that theistic ideas are believable, even under an Old-Earth / Old-Universe paradigm. One does not have to agree with them on the age of the universe in order to appreciate this. To cast them as being in league with the Enemy just seems rather unecessary (except in the cases of some outspoken Theistic Evolutionists who actually do seem to be siding with Darwinists when the exchanges get very polemic). Anyway, your comments make this all the more clear, coming from someone who has undoubtedly had to put up with such rhetoric.
Comment by jb — June 26, 2007 @ 9:28 am
jb,
I just fixed the link to Todd Wood’s paper. Thanks for pointing out my typo!
Sal
Comment by Salvador — June 26, 2007 @ 11:22 am
Please Note:
ATTENTION! YOUNG COSMOS HAS MOVED!
Salvador
Comment by scordova — August 6, 2007 @ 11:22 pm